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2024-12-13 11:39:35

Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)At the end of new york on Wednesday (December 11th), the main contract of CME bitcoin futures BTC was $102,000, up 5.44% from the end of new york on Tuesday. The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,855.00, up 4.70% from Tuesday.New york gold futures rose by 1.3% and stood at $2,750 on the release date of US CPI inflation data. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), spot gold rose by 0.89% to $2,718.31/ounce, and the refresh date at 13:05 Beijing time was as low as $2,675.69-a short-term V-shaped reversal occurred, and the US CPI data failed to break around $2,695 earlier in the day. After the US Treasury Department disclosed the results of the 10-year benchmark bond at 02:00, the daily refresh rate reached $2,721.14, which stood on the 50-day moving average for two consecutive trading days (the technical index was temporarily reported at $2,669.93). Spot silver was roughly flat at $31.9030 per ounce. COMEX gold futures rose by 1.29% to $2,753.60 per ounce, and rose to $2,759.70 at 23:42, which was on the rise all day. COMEX silver futures rose 0.15% to $32.795 an ounce. COMEX copper futures fell 0.23% to $4.2620/lb.


Market participants: In 2025, the steel industry may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. At the 2025 China steel market prospect and the annual meeting of "My Steel", whether the profit space of steel enterprises can be enlarged in 2025, whether the supply-side capacity will be withdrawn in an orderly manner, and what factors should be relied on for the long-term development of enterprises have become the minds of many participants. The industry believes that the survival pressure of steel enterprises may be eased in 2025. The upstream supply of iron ore, coke and coking coal will reduce their prices, and the cost of steel enterprises will fall. The market may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. Market participants said that although steel prices are still expected to decline in 2025, the profit margin of steel enterprises may increase. (SSE)Syrian caretaker Prime Minister said that the current government will manage the transitional period of the country. On the 11th local time, Syrian caretaker Prime Minister Mohamed Bashir said that the current government will manage the transitional period and take over the archives of various ministries and agencies of the Assad government. He mentioned that he had met with the relevant personnel of the former government and made relevant handover, and the "Syrian National Salvation Government" would assume the responsibilities of the existing ministries and commissions.The first-line private placement has become the strategic focus of "going to the position" and "adding flexibility". Recently, the A-share market has continued to fluctuate and strengthen, and market trading tends to be active. The private equity industry's judgment on the market outlook is generally positive. A number of first-line private placements said in an interview with reporters this week that the A-share market is expected to start up at the end of the year, and it is an important strategy to focus on "technological growth" and "domestic demand" in terms of structural mainline, maintain a high position and increase portfolio flexibility. (CSI Taurus)


Merger and acquisition, restructuring and opening up a new bureau, market value management has achieved results. Shanghai is a state-owned state-owned enterprise in the big game of capital market, and Shanghai is a major town of state-owned state-owned enterprises. The market value of state-owned listed companies in Shanghai has exceeded 2.7 trillion yuan, which is a powerful state-owned company in the capital market. Since the beginning of this year, Shanghai state-owned listed companies have taken the initiative to take the lead, tried first, actively reformed and innovated, decisively settled in the big chess game of the capital market, opened a new game in mergers and acquisitions, and managed the market value quite effectively, handing over a sample answer sheet. (SSE)Market News: Most members of the US House of Representatives support the $895 billion national defense policy bill, and voting continues.New york gold futures rose by 1.3% and stood at $2,750 on the release date of US CPI inflation data. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), spot gold rose by 0.89% to $2,718.31/ounce, and the refresh date at 13:05 Beijing time was as low as $2,675.69-a short-term V-shaped reversal occurred, and the US CPI data failed to break around $2,695 earlier in the day. After the US Treasury Department disclosed the results of the 10-year benchmark bond at 02:00, the daily refresh rate reached $2,721.14, which stood on the 50-day moving average for two consecutive trading days (the technical index was temporarily reported at $2,669.93). Spot silver was roughly flat at $31.9030 per ounce. COMEX gold futures rose by 1.29% to $2,753.60 per ounce, and rose to $2,759.70 at 23:42, which was on the rise all day. COMEX silver futures rose 0.15% to $32.795 an ounce. COMEX copper futures fell 0.23% to $4.2620/lb.

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